Manager performance score

Each dot is one manager. Score = their average (actual round − Elo-expected round) across every World Cup they managed — positive means they beat their teams' Elo-implied odds on average, negative means they fell short. The vertical spread has no meaning; it only keeps overlapping dots readable.

Domestic-managed

Foreign-managed

Both (different teams)

Reuses the per-team-year expected/actual rounds already computed for the "Simulated vs. actual" chart (no re-simulation needed) — a manager's score is just the mean of their own rows, grouped by manager name across every team and year they appear with. Dot size scales gently with how many World Cups that manager appears in.